THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 19-22 SEPTEMBER 1964
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005959440
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
13
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
September 22, 1964
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
19-22 SEPTEMBER 196450X1
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1.
22 September 1964
South Vietnam: As Khanh continues his
efforts to form a Supreme National Council which
is to prepare the country for civilian rule,
he has new thorns in his side.
US and Australian advisers have persuaded
most of the Rhade strike force elements who
revolted on Sunday to return to their bases,
but the tribesmen could still cause trouble.
They complain of mistreatment and demand
autonomy. Some Viet Cong inspiration is sug-
gested by Rhade complaints of US "imperialism."
On the other hand, Khanh told Ambassador
Taylor on Monday that he suspected some US
Special Forces personnel had encouraged the
Rhade plot or, at least, withheld foreknowledge
of it from the government. He agreed to keep
his suspicions to himself pending receipt of
more facts.
Students in the capital of Binh Dinh Prov-
ince carried out noisy demonstrations over the
weekend, presenting the government with the
familiar demands that alleged Diem remnants be
thrown out of office. As is becoming usual in
these cases, local authorities stood aside and
gave the demonstrators their head.
(Contid)
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2.
The labor walkout which paralyzed utility
and transport services in Saigon on Monday has
been called off. The labor leadership is
crowing that the government was forced to give
in.
Viet Cong incidents over the past several
days have been at near record levels.
Congo: The OAU's committee on the Congo
wound-UTUissatisfied with Tshombe's performance
at the Nairobi meeting. They feel he should
have agreed to talk with Congolese rebel leaders
there. Tshombe left abruptly on Monday to go
to Elisabethville.
Christophe Gbenye, "President" of the
"Congolese People's Republic," and other top
rebel leaders are now expected in Nairobi, where
they can appear as "true" nationalists devoted
to ousting the foreigners.
The Africans feel US support, especially
the use of US aircraft in the fighting, encour-
ages Tshombe to resist compromise with the
rebels. The OAU's secretary general says that
the unanimous opinion of the special
committee is that US planes must be removed,
since this is a precondition to rebel acceptance
of a ceasefire. They want now to send a dele-
gation to Washington.
(Cont'd)
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A rebel column approaching from the west
appears to offer a threat to Bukavu, but else-
where government forces continue to make some
limited progress. The Red Cross still hopes
to get a chartered Swiss plane in to Stanley-
ville with medical supplies.
3. Cyprus: The island has been relatively
quiet, aside from the usual shooting incidents.
The Turks still talk of carrying out their troop
rotation before the end of September. They are
now trying to work out an arrangement through
the UN.
Khrushchev has met the Cypriot emissaries
in Moscow looking for a military agreement, but
the Soviets do not appear to be rushing to sign
one. The US Embassy in Moscow, after studying
Soviet news coverage of the negotiations, has
the impression that Moscow may come up with
economic aid rather than any military assist-
ance or commitment.
4 USSR:
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5.
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6. USSR: Four days after the furor caused
by the various versions and interpretations of
Khrushchev's remarks about a "terrible weapon"
to Japanese parliamentarians, Moscow released
an official English "text."
7.
As issued for the record, Khrushchev's
remarks were still cast in a Sino-Soviet con-
text, but were most modest and made no new
claim.
Khrushchev is quoted as saying: "...I had
to spend the day yesterday inspecting new types
of weapons. I stayed all day long with mili-
tary, with the scientists and engineers who
work in this sphere. I had to do this because
there are still wolves in the world and one is
compelled to have means to protect himself from
them. This is why we are developing the most
up-to-date means for the defense of our state,
our people, means for defending international
peace. We know very well the destructive power
of this terrible weaponry and we should not like
to use it ever."
USSR:
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8. North Vietnam - Communist China: We have
no evidence thus far that Hanoi ordered an
attack on the "Desoto" patrol on 18 September
although naval units had been alerted to its
movement.
North Vietnamese naval messages trans-
mitted after the incident have been concerned
with defensive action and appear to reflect
fear of US attack.
Hanoi and Peiping, in their quite prompt
propaganda exploitation of the incident, claimed
among other things that the US is seeking "once
t for attacking the DRV."
9. Communist China: With a deal for 400,000
tons Tf?Wintine Wheat,Peiping has now con-
tracted for about six million tons of foreign
grain this year. The 1963 total was 5.7 million
tons.
China will get 300,000 tons annually from
Argentina in 1965 and 1966. Negotiations for
1965 are also under way with France, Canada,
and Australia.
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10, Indonesia-Malaysia: Sukarno, now in
Europe, is pushing his current line of nego-
tiation and peaceful settlement. He has also
just invited himself to Moscow.
In Djakarta, General Nasution has told
Ambassador Jones that no new military actions
against Malaysia are planned but political
actions will continue. He admits that a peace-
ful settlement is unlikely. Nasution told
Jones that the Indonesia Communist Party has
the "bit in its teeth." He foresees further
deterioration in US-Indonesian relations.
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Ti.Laos: Souvanna has left the Paris talks,
after a stormy session on 21 September where
the three Laotian provinces argued for four
hours over his preconditions for a 14-nation
conference. Their deputies are to continue the
talks. We expect little from them unless there
should be a substantial shift in the military
or political balance in Laos.
12.
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13. Western Europe: No decision on credits
to the Soviet bloc was taken during the EEC
Council of Ministers' meeting last week.
Belgium and the Netherlands are apparently
looking for a way to break the five-year limit,
and the West Germans say they are under pres-
sure from industry to do so, The French, who
may offer ten-year terms during commercial
negotiations with the USSR next month, appar-
ently sought to keep a free hand.
14. Cuba: The Algerians apparently expect
Castro in mid-October. He has twice post-
poned visits to Algeria. He may be going to
the Cairo "nonaligned" conference 5-9 October
and may plan to visit Algeria on the way back.
Cuban decision to do nothing whatsoever that
might cause Mexico to break relations.
15. Bolivia: The situation is quiet following
the discovery and suppression on 20 September
of an alleged plot to overthrow President Paz,
but the "state of siege" declared then continues.
There is no evidence of a genuine plot suf-
ficient to justify the government's stringent
action. The government could have cooked it
up as a pretext for moving against opposition
elements before they capitalized on labor unrest.
Another factor could be a desire to avoid inci-
dents during De Gaulle's visit next week.
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