THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 26-28 AUGUST 1964
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Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005959389
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
15
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
August 28, 1964
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
26 - 28 AUGUST 1964
TOP-SEGREL
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Cyprus: More trouble may be brewing over
the Turkish plan to rotate troops on the island
next Monday.
Cypriot Foreign Minister Kyprianou has
turned thumbs down on the Turkish proposal.
He and Makarios have asked the US and UK to
persuade Ankara to postpone the rotation for
a month or two. The Turks, however, reportedly
are determined to go ahead on schedule.
The situation may be complicated by new
clashes in northwest Cyprus.1
Anti-American demonstrations in Ankara
have been growing in size and intensity. They
could lead to acts of violence against Americans.
The Cyprus situation could force "important
changes" in Turkish foreign policy, according
to an influential Turkish paper. The changes
would involve an independent foreign policy and
removal of some privileges accorded Americans
in Turkey.
Makarios and Kyprianou are in Cairo and
are expected to stay there until at least late
Monday./
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CAMEROON
REPUBLIC
OF THE
CONGO
Approximate Area
of Uprising
O 100 290 Miles
O 160 290 Kilometers
GABON.
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SOUTH
ATLANTIC
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6408275
ProvInctal boundartes have been interpolated from existing
45774 J reaps and intelligei;:ee reports. and are not definitive
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BAN VEULII
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ATANGA-
RIENTAL i
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lwep
......A.Elisalkethvi Ile
NORTHERN RHODESIA
(U.K.)
MOZ,4 \1111QCE
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2. Congo: Government forces have been inef-
fective in coping with the rebels over a large
part of the country.
The government's claim that it had retaken
Albertville appears to have been more wishful
thinking than fact. The poorly organized attack
on the city ,mainly by mercenaries, seems to have
been repulsed with the attackers fleeing in
confusion.
There are signs that the rebellion is
spreading toward the Congo's northern frontier
as we expected. "Unrest" is reported in upper
Uele, but we are not certain whether the dis-
sidents are local inhabitants or members of the
"Peoples' Liberation Army." One unit of the
"army" is in Mambasa, west of Bunia, capital
of Kibali-Ituri./
Bukavu as
"tense and confused." In Leopoldville, the
disturbances planned by the Committee of National
Liberation for yesterday did not come off and
the city is quiet.
The rebel regime in Stanleyville apparently
is having trouble governing the city. It is
trying to stem "disorder and confusion" but has
announced that no Europeans would be harmed.
(Cont 'd)
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We have no first-hand evidence of the present
status of the US Consulate staff in Stsnlpvvillp
Brussels evidently still thinks that the
military situation can be redeemed and is going
ahead with the Van Der Walle plan for supple-
menting the National Army with Belgian officers.
An emergency meeting of the Organization
for African Unity on the Congo problem seems
virtually certain for 5 September,but there is
no consensus on what action should be taken.
Some governments, even the moderate ones, appear
to favor a formula involving "negotiations"
between Leopoldville and the dissidents.
3. South Vietnam: Although mob fighting in
Saigon appears to be subsiding, the situation
remains volatile.
Some new deaths resulting from clashes
between armed Buddhists and Catholics have been
reported and a Catholic newspaper office was
burned. No new violence is reported from other
cities
(Cont 'd)
Two.. te.p.Itiza
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Khanh has told reporters that he had sub-
mitted his resignation as premier yesterday but
it had not yet been acted upon. Before his
press interview, Khanh apparently agreed, under
US prodding, not to resign if "Big" Minh publicly
endorsed him. Minh indicated to Ambassador
Taylor that he would do this on condition that
he himself stayed on as chief of state.
Khanh subsequently told Taylor that he now
intends to announce that his resignation was
rejected and that he will remain premier. He
intends to add that he will take a short vaca-
tion and in his absence Vice Premier Oanh will
be authorized to sign state papers in his name.
Khanh said that the next step would be
the formation of a "Committee of National Unity"
composed of notables and members of religious
groups and parties, with Minh as chairman. The
committee would have the power to approve the
change from a ministerial to a presidential form
of government, "approve" the president and some
of his acts, and establish a national assembly.
Our embassy thinks Khanh's chances of push-
ing this plan through and having himself named
president are questionable.
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A captured Viet Cong document, dated in
May, furnishes guidance to Viet Cong units in
exploiting an anticipated coup in Saigon.
Political, military, and subversion units are
to be deployed along with Viet Cong guerrillas
and the local populace in a three-pronged
effort to destroy governmental outposts,
security mechanisms, and "New Life" hamlets.
Major Viet Cong units are to mount direct
assaults, leaving ambush operations against
government reinforcement units to small Viet
Cong groups.
4. Cuba: Havana is trying to maintain an
official presence in Chile despite the recent
break in relations.
Montevideo will break relations with Havana,
probably on 3 September.
(Cont'd)
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With sugar prices down, Cuba's foreign
exchange position has become tighter,and a
general effort is being made to straighten out
foreign purchasing. We understand that Castro's
1965 economic plan will call for a substantial
cut in imports from one billion pesos, as ini-
tially planned, to 830 million pesos. Purchases
from nonbloc countries are to be particularly
affected.
5. USSR-Cuba: Moscow is apparently shifting
its tactics in its efforts to rally international
diplomatic support for a relaxation of US pres-
sure against Cuba.
The Soviets have been cautiously trying to
arouse concern among UN members over the recent
OAS resolution. They have implied that they
intend to take some action in the UN General
Assembly this fall to isolate the UN on the is-
sue.
Moscow is claiming that the OAS action was
illegal since it was taken by a regional group
under UN aegis and that prior Security Council
consent was not obtained as required by the UN
charter.
The Kremlin may reason that this approach
is less risky for Soviet-US relations than a
head-on attack on the question of US overflights
of Cuba.
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Status of Friendship' Crude Oil Pipeline.
1 SEPTEMBE' 1964
EAST
chwedr.
r GERpSAIET
zoiaqt
U/C
Ba
Klaipeda.
Ii ingrad u/C
s'4** Polo,1LAS U c,--s
u/c
POLAND
lock
rest
U ech
'nsk
Mclzyr
Ovcuch
a sk
Completed
Under construction. For completion in 1965.
Under construction. For completion in 1966:
Planned for completion in 1967
In planning stage,
a Refinery
u/c Refinery, under construction.
Kuybyshev
Penz
a
ic
Brody
Uzhgorod
.???
u/C K emenchug
Michurinsk
14?Initial dote of onstruction not known
.....?Liski
.???
.??? '
.-?
Syz an
Almetyevsk
Crude oil \
ii>gatheri7,7:5
Kulesho ka
ST ATO T
Block Seo
CaspianSe:\b\--1(-\
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6. Chile: Christian Democrat Senator Frei
will win the 4 September presidential election,
in the opinion of most observers in Santiago.
They are concerned, however, that the
margin will be close and that this will touch
off charges that Communist-Socialist candidate,
Senator Allende, was counted out. Allende
followers might, in this event, resort to vio-
lence.
7. USSR - Eastern Europe: The much ballyhooed
Soviet Friendship Oil Pipeline to Eastern Europe
will begin operation in October, almost a year
behind schedule.
Even so, the Soviets reportedly used 32-
inch pipe for the 690-mile stretch between
Penza and Mozyr, apparently reserving prized
40-inch pipe--much of it imported--for domestic
natural gas lines. The use of smaller pipe,
and related problems, will cut the estimated
48-million-ton annual capacity of the line nearly
in half.
As a result, plans have apparently been
drawn up to parallel the entire system.
8. USSR-Czechoslovakia:
Moscow has sharply increased the delivery to
Czechoslovakia of its new model ground attack
fighter, the Fitter (SU-7).
(Cont 'd)
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9.
Yemeni'
10. Indonesia: The 27 August cabinet reshuffle '
falls far short Of what the Indonesian Communists
probably hoped for after Sukarno's left-leaning
17 August independence day speech.
(Cont d)
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11.
Sukarno "attached" a top Communist party
official to the presidium--the group of three
deputy prime ministers who largely administer
the government.
This appointment seems to give the Com-
munists direct access to the full scope of gov-
ernment administration, but the balance of power
among the top figures of the regime apparently
remains unchanged.
North Vietnam:(
12. India-USSRC
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TOP SECRET
Yugoslavia: Satellite photography of early
August reveals two SA-2 (SAM) sites and a pos-
sible SAM support facility in the Belgrade area.
All construction is completed, and some
equipment is in place. The sites could become
operational in a matter of weeks--the time re-
quired to move in the remaining equipment and
the actual missiles.
TOP SECRET
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