THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 12-14 AUGUST 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959361
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 15
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: August 14, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
12 ? 14 AUGUST 1964
-TOP-SECRFJ_
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BULGARI
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ALU AN IA
Eskisehir ?
Izmir
*ANKARA
TUR KEY
Incirlik /Adana c''
Mersin Mersin ? \e
Siifke
MEDITERRANEAN
LEBANO
JORDAN
STATUTE MILES
Rizokarpa so
AREA 0
RECENT FI
Boghaz.
Kokkm
ansoura
CYPRUS
14 August 1964
RBIPrincipal British sovereign base area
0 10 20
640813 2
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1.
Cyprus: Tensions in the Kokkina area have
eased off somewhat. UN forces have begun to
take positions between Greek and Turkish Cyp-
riots in the vicinity of the village.
Papandreou, under strong pressure at home
to give Makarios greater support, has turned
down Inonu's request for bilateral negotiations.
Had he agreed to talks which excluded Makarios,
he might have lost his own popular support.
(Cont'd)
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Despite his backing of the Greek Cypriots,
Papandreou now has virtually no influence over
Makarios and he seems to have had serious dis-
agreements with General Grivas at their 5
August meeting.
Greek Cypriot leaders have continued tO
press for Soviet military aid,
We doubt that Moscow is likely to move
quickly to involve herself to this extent in
the current Cyprus crisis, however, and any
such assurances are probably largely for
propaganda purposes.
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CAMEROON is
REPUBLIC
OF THE
CONGO
International boundary
2 ? Province boundary
? National capital
* Province capital
Area of Uprising
0-
0 190 200 Miles
0 100 200 Kilometers
GABON . !
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BRAllAVILLE
?VLE.OPOL
K 0-CENTRAL
CENTRAL
UBAN
Geniena
27
AFRICAN REPUBLIC
_.?4..eto hp, _jr"."??-'4?.
SUDAN
UELE
3
MOVEN-CONGO
Poulis*
KIBALI-ITU
Bonin*
NORD-
KIVU
ongo
AC LEOPOLD II
DOMBE
(LAC LEOPOLD II)
SANK URU
*/7
LAKE
ALBERT
UGANDA
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WANDA!
(F?KIGA.1.11?9
4
.BUJ,Uf;ABURA
SOUTH
ATLANTIC
OCEAN
? MULELE
Rebellion
ANGANYIKA
V-11, ..-KWANGO
LAKE
ANCAPMKA
LAKE
UK IA
? LAKE
' A! IVERII
KATA NGA-
ORIENTAL
Schtville
Elisabe ville
ANGOLA
(Port.)
Provincial boundaries have been interpolated from existing!
45774 maps and intellige*e reports. and are not definitive. ' ?
NORTHERN RHODESIA
(U.K.)
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2. Congo: Government forces are still meet-
ing with some success in North Katanga. There
are reports of the rebels' abandonment of
Kabalo and of their panic in Albertville. This
offsets somewhat the continuing bad news on
rebel advances in the eastern Congo and toward
Luluabourg in the central south area. Bukavu
was reported under attack on 14 August.
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3. Communist China - North Vietnam: Overall,
there has been little change in the military
situation.
(Cont'd)
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Hanoi and Peiping continue their "scare"
propaganda.
On 13 August, Wilfred Burchett, an Austra-
lian pro-Communist newsman, wrote in a Japanese
paper that, if US or South Vietnamese attacks
on North Vietnam are "pressed," an immediate
result would be "military unification" of
North Vietnam and Viet Cong-controlled areas
and the creation of a "single military front"
across Indochina--including Laos. Burchett
allegedly got this from Hanoi.
The Soviets would appear to consider the
immediate crisis over.
4. South Vietnam: Khanh intends soon to
effect changes in his government.
These will include his taking over Minh's
job as chief of state and sending the latter
abroad as an ambassador. Khanh as president
would combine the functions of chief executive
as well as chief of state.
(Cont'd)
res.- TI Drne.Ann nmis, a,.rnf
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Defense Minister Khiem would become vice
president for military affairs, and there has
been talk of Vu Van Mau, present ambassador to
London, as vice president for civil affairs.
The reorganization, if it comes off, will
probably ease Khanh's work load.
He may also follow up his recent emergency
decrees with other changes he has been contem-
plating--canceling elections, writing a pro-
visional constitution, and later creating a
pliant national assembly. These moves, how-
ever, would be an invitation to serious, new
opposition.
Minh, moreover, may not sit still for all
this. He has told Ambassador Taylor he will
resist Khanh's plans to send him abroad as part
of the reorganization. This probably would not
prevent Khanh from following through with his
plan, but if Minh refuses to leave the country,
he could become a focal point for opposition
to the Khanh regime.
Indonesia)
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6. Pakistan: President Ayub has told Ambas-
sador McConaughy that his present "reappraisal"
of foreign policy only involves SEATO.
He said SEATO is of no real value to
Pakistan and that Pakistan is "embarrassed"
because its "liabilities nearer home" do not
permit it to pull its weight in SEATO. We
continue to suspect some sort of a secret
understanding with Peiping.
Ayub repeated his position that he could
commit nothing to South Vietnam or other South-
east Asian governments, but he carefully
avoided any suggestion that Pakistan might
withdraw from CENTO or its bilateral security
agreements with the US.
Cuba: We hear that a Bolivian break with
Cuba is in the offing. An announcement, how-
ever, would probably await some cooling of the
present unrest and series of demonstrations
there.
Havana may have temporarily suspended
most purchasing in the West. The Cubans are
seeking to straighten out a certain degree of
chaos produced by uncoordinated buying in
recent months.
A Cuban trade group now in the UK is seek-
ing $14 million worth of parts and equipment
for repair and maintenance of sugar and nickel
production and refining facilities. Included
are locomotives and freight cars.
(Popt'd)
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8.
The penalties meted out to high Cuban
officials for mismanagement and inefficiency
are harsh. We hear that the former Minister
of Economy, dismissed in July, is now manag-
ing a dairy and that the former Foreign Trade
Minister, dismissed in June, is working in:.a
copper mine--down in the shaft.
Jordan:l
9. Laos: Operation Triangle's mopping up
operations continue, with no signs as yet of
Pathet Lao preparations to counterattack0
nmi.! red.
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10. Bolivia: Faced with unrest in various
quarters and threats by adherents of ex - Vice
President Lechin to rebel
11.
Haiti: Duvalier's forces are still after
two groups of rebels, with little success. One
group of 35 landed on 6 August, the other of
about 25 came in from the Dominican Republic.
Duvalier very much wants the US to do something
about this activity.
12. Panama: Pro-Castro agitators are again
planning demonstrations in Panama City this week-
end during the celebrations marking the fiftieth
anniversary of the opening of the canal.
13. Brazil: Some military leaders, who call
themselves "hardline," are pressing Castello
Branco to assume near-dictatorial powers. They
want to stop an alleged come-back of. Goulart
regime politicians who are "subverting" the
April revolution. Castello Branco has reacted
by reiterating his intention to follow demo-
cratic procedures, but he may have to go along
with some of their demands.
Few Tiles Preiciriaani. ("Ink, _ Tnn ccht,rdaf
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14. Communist China: The Chinese are closer
this year to becoming self-sufficient in pet-
roleum, but will still be dependent on the USSR
for nearly all their jet fuel, aviation gas,
and high grade lubricants. Imports from the
USSR have been dropping. This year Moscow will
apparently supply only 450,000 tons, less than
ten percent of China's total requirements.
15. Lebanon: President Shihab, apparently
still determined not to accept a second term,
intends to use his influence to break the dead-
lock over succession to his office. Shihab
can probably rally a quorum in parliament for
the scheduled 18 August election. He hopes
quietly to engineer the choice of one of
several candidates he thinks suitable.
16. India-USSR: The Indians intend to ask
Moscow formore MIG-21s,
The new order is intended to fill the
gap until domestic production of MIGs is under
way.
For ThA PrpsidAnt only - Tnn Sprrpt
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TOP SECRET
e
USSR-China: Preliminary examination of
Mission
shows more ICBM dispersed single
silos in an early stage of construction,
this group in the Soviet Far East.
This group is located at an existing ICBM
complex at Olovyannaya, southeast of Chita,
and consists of six silo areas separated by
distances of three or four miles.
This second discovery of dispersed
single silos confirms the Soviets are shift-
ing new ICBM deployments to this less vulner-
able system. We cannot yet tell which missile
is intended for these silos but suspect it
will be the SS-9, which has had a highly suc-
cessful test record, so far.
TOP SECRET
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SECRET
SECRET
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