THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 8-10 JULY 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959291
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: July 10, 1964

Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002800240001-0
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
8 - 10 JULY 1964
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1.
Cyprus i\
9 July 1964
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2. Laos: A flurry of coup rumors began this
week, but the Laotian Government's leaders
discount them.
They have told US Embassy officials that
no changes are imminent, but some of them said
they would rather not predict the actions of
the less responsible, lower level types. The
rumors are continuing.
3. Congo: Tshombe must expect to run the
new government as a one-man show. His cabinet
is made up of subservient friends or nonentities.
By running things almost singlehandedly,
he probably hopes to build a reputation of
indispensability that would serve him well in
the elections later this year. The risk of
failure is obviously great, considering the
host of problems he will face.
He has made it clear he hopes that the US
will help him out. He told Ambassador Godley
he wanted "bygones to be bygones," which he
implied would depend on continued US aid--
currently about $50,000,000 per year.
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4. South Vietnam-North Vietnam: Hanoi appears
to be sending more regular army personnel to
strengthen the Viet Cong in northern South Viet-
nam.
South Vietnamese officials in the northern
provinces have been saying that new infiltra-
tions are under way. They also claim to have
heard that two North Vietnamese divisions have
been moved to the Laotian - South Vietnamese
border, but there is no confirmation of this.
North Vietnam - USSR - Communist China:
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6. France:
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7. British Guiana: Racial incidents have
brought the colony almost to the brink of
civil war.
Thirty Negroes died in the bombing of a
riverboat last Monday. The Negro population
retaliated by beating three East Indians to
death.
A political solution seems almost unat-
tainable. Jagan is maneuvering to form a
coalition with Negro leader Burnham's People's
National Congress, but Burnham, blaming Jagan
for starting the current violence, will hot
accept. He is holding out for new elections
under proportional representation.
8. USSR - East Germany: We cannot be en-
tirely certain, but it appears that the Soviet
18th Guards Army is being disbanded.
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This still leaves five Soviet armies in
East Germany.
9. Communist China - Burma: Chou En-lai
arrived unheralded in Rangoon on 10 July, prob-
ably on a mission to get Ne Win's support
against US policy in Southeast Asia.
Chou is likely to pressure Ne Win to go
along with a communiqu?ondemning US "aggres-
sion."
The subject of a Geneva-type conference
will also be on the agenda. The Burmese have
avoided commenting on this up to now, but they
are believed sympathetic to the idea.
10. Canada
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11. Syria-Israel/
12. France: De Gaulle has confirmed to his
cabinet his intention to run for the presidency
in 1965
A recent
public opinion poll showed that Pompidou would
be favored over Socialist candidate Gaston
Defferre, if De Gaulle should withdraw from
the contest.
13. Cuba
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14. Cuba-USSR/
15. Japan-Cuba: The Japanese have warned us
that their trade with Cuba will be higher this
year, totaling about $24 million. They expect
to buy more sugar and sell mostly consumer
goods.
The Japanese official passing this infor-
mation said he wanted us to be forewarned and
hoped Washington would not "dramatize" it.
16. Argentina: The Peronist-dominated cen-
tral committee of the General Confederation
of Workers has voted to continue the agitation
campaign it began some months ago.
This decision was opposed by most of the
independent affiliates of the CGT, most of
whom did not attend the meeting. An open split
in the CGT seems to be in the making.
(Cont' d)
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The campaign will consist of rallies and
mass meetings. The CGT has hinted darkly at
the possibility of more aggressive measures
to come, but this may be only a publicity-
getting device.
The government has started its own propa-
ganda campaign to rebut the widespread criti-
cism of its inaction on various needed reforms
and its failure to do anything about the ris-
ing cost of living.
17. Mexico-US: The US proposal on solving
the salinity problem has received at least
tentative acceptance.
Foreign Secretary Gorostiza says it fur-
nishes a basis for negotiations and probably
a "modus vivendi." He commented that the
Mexicali Valley would not consider it entirely
satisfactory, but he appeared fairly optimistic.
18. France-Indonesia: The French have approved
the sale of three helicopters to the Indonesians.
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