THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 4 JUNE 1964
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005959216
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
11
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
June 4, 1964
File:
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DOC_0005959216.pdf | 223.13 KB |
Body:
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
ISSUED BYTHE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
4 JUNE 1964 50X1
-TOP-SEC-REL
7_, 6
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. South Korea a. The Pak government is in
deep trouble.
b. Even though the imposition
of martial law on Seoul yesterday
seems to have restored a semblance
of order there, sizable demonstra-
tions are under way today in at
least four provincial cities.
c. The matter is not likely
to rest here. By all reports,the
Seoul students intend to challenge
Pak's martial law. If so, the
chances are good that they will
attract more support from the pub-
lic than they have had so far.
d. In this situation the
troops might be forced to extreme
measures, which is what the student
agitators have been after all along.
This is the sequence which led to
Rhee's fall.
e. Pak could still defuse
this explosive situation by sacri-
ficing Kim Chong-pil and promising
reforms. He stubbornly refuses'Ao
take these steps
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2. Cyprus
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3 Congo.
a. The Congolese Army is
hanging on in Kivu, but by a thin
thread.
b. Reinforcements are being
introduced and the local command
has been making a conscientious
effort to stiffen these forces.
c. Even so, its position
there seems to us to depend more
on the immobility of the insurgents,
who have made no move toward Bukavu
since Monday, than on the army's
defensive merits, which remain
questionable.
(Cont'd)
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d. The Belgians,who see the
situation in Kivu and elsewhere as
being quite beyond the Congolese
Army, are floating the idea of talks
between Adoula and Soumialot, who
has told the Belgians he is will-
ing. The trouble is that he really
does not run the Kivu rebels, try
as he may to give this impression.
e. Now that New York has
reluctantly agreed to move the
Nigerians to Kivu, the Congolese
are stalling. Mobutu tends to feel
that,since the Nigerians are due
to leave the Congo by month's end,
their stay in Kivu would be too
brief to be helpful.
f. Looking to the longer run
and now convinced that it needs
help, the Adoula government has
approached the Nigerians with an
official request for perhaps two
battalions of troops after the UN
forces leave.
g. There is talk in Leopold-
ville of making similar bilateral
requests of Ethiopia, Tunisia,and
Senegal.
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4. Laos
a. The rains continue as does
the lull in military activity. A
new action may, however, be shaping
up.
b. While Kong Le's forces
have been reinforcing and consoli-
dating their positions before Muong
Suoi, the Pathet Lao have moved
several battalions, with tanks in
support, toward these positions.
The neutralists anticipate an attack.
c. The Pathet Lao are prob-
ably in a position to do so. De-
spite'the rain, trucks are Still
moving from North Vietnam to the
Plaine des Jarresl
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5. South Vietnam
a. It has been more than a
fortnight since the Viet Cong have
carried out a large-scale attack.
A similar tapering off in military
activity took place during May/June,
1962 and 1963.
b. Mildly hopeful, too, is
the information that the downward
trend in government troop strength
seems to have been arrested, earlier
than we had expected.
c. Desertion rates remain
high and will have to be brought
down before overall strength figures
begin to rise.
d. On the political side,
Embassy Saigon fears that Khanh's
action in freeing the impounded
generals may actually improve their
ability to work against him.
(Cont'd)
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6. Cuba
e. In addition, some view
their release as giving impetus
to neutralism, since they were
charged with favoring this course
and then released without punish-
ment.
a. Taking a page from Pei-
ping's book, the Cubans are fanning
a germ warfare campaign against
the US.
b. This has not gained much
headway yet, but "blitz rallies"
are being organized to publicize an
alleged "bacterial attack" against
crops from gelatinous baloons.
These are getting heavy coverage
by Havana radio.
c. So far, Moscow has not
provided counterpoint to these
charges, but we would expect at
the least that Peiping and its
friends would pick the issue up.
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NOTES
A. USSR-Cuba The Cubans moved another step
toward the take-over of the SAM system this
week. They assumed control over SAM com-
munications units in the western and central
parts of the island. We expect the process
to be completed in the near future.
C. USSR-Ghana Ghana, which has returned as
unsatisfactory four of eight turboprop trans-
ports it bought from the USSR, is nevertheless
negotiating for new Russian-built jet equip-
ment. Accra has also contracted to import
500,000 tons of Soviet crude in the second
half of the year and has told local oil com-
panies that they will be expected not only to
distribute refined products from the crude
through their Ghanaian facilities but also to
dispose of any unused quantities abroad.
(Cont'd)
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D. Argentina Labor's program of brief sit-ins
at selected businesses has gone peacefully
enough thus far. On Tuesday these groups
managed a brief and partial stoppage of the
Buenos Aires subway. If this program expands,
as its sponsors plan, the government will be
hard put to adhere to its present course of
keeping the military out of it.
F. Southeast Asia Sukarno, summit or no, is
off for a two-day visit to Manila starting Fri-
day, followed by a five-day stay in Tokyo as
Ikeda's guest. His onward plans are indefinite
as the more Indonesia explains its most re-
cent statements on Malaysia the less likely
a summit becomes. Sihanouk is in the south
of France
before going on to Paris to begin his state
visit. He may be in France for six weeks all
told.
G. Italy-China Vittorelli, the Nenni socialists'
top foreign affairs expert now in China for
an "exploratory" visit, was received by Mao
Tse-tung on Tuesday, We do not know just what
is up, but Vittorelli was accompanied to
Peiping by the Italian Trade Commissioner in
Hong Kong which gives an official flavor to
the visit.
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DOCUMENT OF INTEREST
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