THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 9-12 MAY 1964

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
0005959172
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
T
Document Page Count: 
11
Document Creation Date: 
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date: 
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
May 12, 1964
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PDF icon DOC_0005959172.pdf231.67 KB
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6H. ,,Am r ) THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW ISSUED BY THE OENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 9 - 12 MAY 1964 -TOP-SE-CREL 50X1 26 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 1. 12 May 1964 Cuba-USSR: It now appears that Cuban personnel will not be ready to take over all the Soviet SAM sites on the island before the latter part of June. The program in the central sector has also been lagging. Training in the western part of the island is further along.' 2. Cuba: upsurge in counterrevolutionary activities in central Cuba. There have been numerous small-scale clashes involving govern- 7ent forces in the past three weeks. 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 3. Cambodia - South Vietnam: Sihanouk has reacted to last week's border fighting with a characteristic flurry of diplomatic activity. He also levels charges of US complicity in the incidents, charging that US troops actively participated in these "veritable acts of war against Cambodia." Sihanouk has not yet used the incidents for further approaches to Hanoi or Peiping, but he may ask for UN observers to investigate charges that the Viet Cong use Cambodian soil. 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 4. South Vietnam: A number of leading Khanh subordinates continue to growl about the way the general is running things. One of them, a corps commander in the northern part of the country, fears that South Vietnam is becoming "another Laos" with various political groups unable or unwilling to pull together even though the military situation is deteriorating. Khanh's failure to delegate authority. 5. Laos: Souvanna, who has been picking his way carefully between pitfalls to the right and left, has managed to get through another week. The right-wing coup group has been demanding a wholesale shakeup of his govern- ment while the Pathet Lao is threatening political or military retaliation if he does. He must now deal with the rightist- dominated National Assembly which is meeting in Vientiane. His present plan is to present the assembly with a scheme for replacing one dead and two expatriated neutralist ministers. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 50X1 6. North Vietnam - Laos: 7. South Korea: Pak may have succeeded in buying at least a brief period of political quiet by setting up a new cabinet under Chong Il-kwon. Chong, one-time ambassador to the US, is popular in both political and military quarters. He is both energetic and astute and will be a definite improvement over his ineffectual predecessor. More importantly from Pak's point of view, Chong's appointment may serve to mollify the many opponents of Kim Chong-pil, both in and out of government. 50X1 50X1 For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 8. Indonesia-Malaysia: Macapagal is sending former Foreign Minister Lopez to Djakarta and Kuala Lumpur for still another try at arrang- ing a meeting with Sukarno and the Tunku. Sukarno of course will not be hard to persuade so long as no one insists he with- draw his guerrillas from Malaysia. The Tunku has insisted on some give from Djakarta on this point, however, and will look skeptically at any proposal Lopez brings. There has not been a great deal of action in the Borneo jungles over the past few days, but the situation remains explosive. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 50X1 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 9. Southern Rhodesia: 10. 50X1 50X1 These elements have long been deaf to warnings that economic and political disaster would follow such a unilateral sten 50X1 50X1 50X1 Nyasaland. is due to get full independence--unuer native rule--in early July. Malta: 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 11. Cyprus: The island was quiet over the weekend and General Gyani, who was beginning to show the strain, was able to take a day off for the first time in the 40-odd days he has been there. There is little confidence anywhere that the calm can last. In fact the killing Mon- day by Turkish Cypriots of two officers of the Greek Army contingent could set things off once again. Already ten Turkish Cypriot hostages have been seized in reprisal. 12. Yemen-Aden: 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 50X1 For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 13. Tanganyika-Zanzibar: Nyerere, a concilia- tor rather than a fighter, is having trouble bringing the Zanzibaris to heel. The union is two weeks old, but all ministries of the supposedly defunct Govern- ment of Zanzibar are operating as usual and with Karume's blessing. Information bulletins bearing the seal of the government are still appearing on the streets. Karume, urged on by the many Communists who still surround him, has been saying that Zanzibar neither needs nor wants Western aid. Nyerere has been urging a quick injection of just such aid for the island. The thorniest problem between the two union partners remains East Germany. Nyerere is deeply committed to the West Germans, while Karume prefers to stick with East Germany. (Cont 'd) 50X1 For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 The East Germans are working overtime in their efforts to keep their favored position on the island. Not only have they been push- ing their case on Zanzibari officialdom, but they have been conducting a door-to-door cam- paign to explain how East German aid will benefit the individual Zanzibaris. They apparently are confident that they will either keep their foothold or tear the union apart. 14. Algeria: Ben Bella may be about to nationalize Algeria',s petroleum extraction and distribution facilities, an act which will not sit well in Paris. The Algerian leader, who has long been interested in breaking France's stranglehold over this and other Algerian businesses, may have gotten a commitment from Moscow for help if the French react strongly. 15. West Germany: Chancellor Erhard has reportedly put aside any idea of a mission to Moscow for the time being. He is, however, toying with the idea of sending a Bundestag delegation there this summer. 16. Khrushchev: There is some indication that the Soviet premier may stop off in Algiers after his visit to Egypt. There is also an outside chance he may visit Addis Ababa as well. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 50X1 Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6 17. Panama.: As matters now stand, Robles has been elected with a plurality of 20,000 in a total vote of around 300,000. We do not expect the final official tally to change this outcome. So far there has been little evidence of extensive vote rigging on behalf of Robles. He seems to have attracted a considerable vote away from Galindo, and this may have reduced the need. The unpredictable Arnulfo Arias, who has said that he could be beaten only by fraud, has not yet reacted. He still has the poten- tial to cause trouble, but some of his fol- lowers seem to have been intimidated by the way the National Guard has handled the election thus far. For The President Only - Top Secret Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002600200001-6