THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 6-8 MAY 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959164
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: May 8, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
6 - 8 MAY 1964
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1.
8 May 1964
Laos: The coup group is strengthening
its control over Souvanna while pushing a
government reorganization in the face of
Pathet Lao opposition.
Last Tuesday it was announced that Souvanna
had agreed to changes in the cabinet designed
to improve its efficiency. In fact, the
changes appear to have been dictated to the
Premier by coup General Siho.
There have already been indications
that the Pathet Lao may be preparing to set
up a separatist government outside Vientiane.
On Thursday, a Pathet Lao spokesman said
that if his party is forced out of the
present coalition, there will be "partition
and civil war."
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2. Cuba-USSR:
3. South Vietnam - Cambodia: Another
serious border incident has occurred between
South Vietnam and Cambodia.
(Cont d)
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Cambodia charges that 13 South Vietnamese
M-113 armored personnel carriers penetrated
two-and-a-half kilometers into Svay Rieng
Province yesterday, firing on village in-
habitants and clashing with local Cambodian
forces.
From Saigon, MACV reports that a South
Vietnamese M-113 was hit and set on fire by
a Cambodian armored vehicle in an apparent
follow-up action in the incident area. The
M-113 was identified by MACV as part of a
security force operating against Viet Cong
forces which have been harassing South
Vietnamese border posts in recent days.
Sihanouk's reaction is not yet known.
Following the 19 March incident at Chantrea
in the same general area, he warned that
Cambodia would take drastic diplomatic action
if another serious border incident occurred.
At that time he threatened to seek recogni-
tion of Cambodia's borders from Hanoi.
4. South Vietnam: Complaints about Khanh's
method of government continue.
(Cont 'd)
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The strength of the armed forces has been
declining rapidly since last November's coup.
Failure to fulfill conscription quotas is
partially responsible, but more alarming is
the steady rise in the number of desertions.
The desertion rate was about 3,000 per
month before the coup. In March 1964, it was
8,500. Most deserters are from paramilitary
units, but this year's monthly rate in the
regular force is about 1,600, more than
double the rate in 1963.
Combat units are expected to remain
understrength at least until August, even if
Khanh's plans for boosting morale and
recruitment bear fruit.
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5. Cyprus: Military activity has declined
to a relatively low level during the past
few days, but there has been no visible prog-
ress toward a political settlement.
Turkish military units
will
probably remain ready, however, and could
react quickly to any change in the situation
on Cyprus.
In Nicosia, General Gyani has told Ambas-
sador Belcher his task is impossible and
hinted he would not extend his three-month
commitment. Gyani has expressed sympathy
for the position of the Turkish Cypriots,
but he is highly critical of their recent
actions and those of the Turkish Government.
He blamed Turkey for much of the difficulty
because Ankara continued to hold out hope
of intervention to the Turkish Cypriots.
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6 France: De Gaulle has resumed an active
work schedule his first week out of the hospi-
tal,
It is still too early
to tell whether he will now seek a second term.
7. Lebanon: President Shihab has decided
not to run for re-election this August. The
removal of his steady hand from the reins of
government could mean a renewal of traditional
clashes among Lebanon's numerous religious
and political factions.
Shihab, however, has changed his mind
before, and may be persuaded to do so again
in the interests of national stability.
8. USSR-Egypt: Nasir, whose foreign ex-
change reserves are dangerously low, may ask
Khrushchev for a cash loan during the Soviet
premier's visit.
//Khrushchev,
with hard currency problems of his own, prob-
ably will counter with the promise of a large
credit for Egypt's second five-year plan which
starts next year.
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9. Cuba: The Cubans are pushing hard for
more Western credits, following the recent
favorable decision by France. Ambassador
Finletter, reporting on his conversations
with North Atlantic Council representatives,
has the impression that the French decision
may have set off a chain reaction. The
Dutch and Belgian representatives have indi-
cated that their governments may now find it
difficult to hold the line.
10. Cuba-Brazil:
11.
Communist China - USSR: The Chinese
appear confident that Khrushchev cannot
muster the support he needs to call an inter-
national Communist meeting. Peiping's
published letter of 7 May to the Soviet
Communist Party takes note of the point made
by the Italian, Rumanian, and other parties
that if the Soviets rush into a meeting,
Moscow will have to shoulder the blame for
splitting the movement. The letter states
that adequate preparation would take several
years and adds that even a bilateral meeting
could not be held in less than one year.
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12.
Panama: There is still widespread fore-
boding as the Panamanian presidential campaign
rolls into its last few days./
13. ?Congo (Brazzaville):
14.
Rumania-US:
the Rumanian industrial
mercial delegation expected
in Washington
and com-
on 15 May and discussions are to begin
on the 18th.
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