THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 2-5 MAY 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959156
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: May 5, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
2
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1.
5 May 1964
Laos: Souvanna has had his first ses-
sion with Souphannouvong and has come back
"optimistic" saying there would be another
meeting "in a few days." The two princes
presumably have gotten no where.
The coup group maintains the upper hand
in Vientiane with Siho controlling the mili-
tary units there. Stringent controls have
been placed on financial transactions, news
media,and the movements of foreigners.
The latest deadline imposed by the
Revolutionary Committee is 15 May, after
which time it plans to form a new government
if Souvanna has not come up with something
it can accept. Although deadlines have a
way of evaporating in Laos,the problems do
not.
photography discloses
that Hanoi is making substantial supply
deliveries to South-Central Laos, probably
to ensure ample supplies for Communist forces
in the area before the rainy season sets in.
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2. Cyprus: The long Easter weekend brought
a halt to the intra-Cypriot skirmishing and
it has yet to pick up again.
The Turks, who had given evidence of
once more being on the brink of intervention,
seem to have taken some solace in the more
forceful actions of the UN contingent on the
island.
However, they are not letting their guard
down. On 5 May they began a combined amphib-
ious operation, "Exercise Attila," in the Gulf
of Iskenderun. The Turkish press describes
it as "the country's greatest combined maneu-
ver to date."
UN mediator Tuomioja has completed his
round of Ankara, Athens,and London but has
come up with nothing new on a solution.
He says he opposes radical measures
which are not acceptable to all parties, such
as partition or union with Greece. Instead,
he favors a unitary state with Turkish Cyp-
riot political privileges sharply reduced.
3. Cuba: Castro devoted about a fifth of
his May Day speech to the issue of US over-
flights. He stressed Cuba's determination to
bring about an end to them, by force if neces-
sary, but stressed even more his regime's
determination to exhaust every peaceful means
before taking action against the flights.
(Cont 'd)
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4.
Press reports that the SA-2 surface-
to-air missiles deployed in Cuba have been
replaced by other models are false.
UK:
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5. Zanzibar: Babu, to no one's surprise,
is already beginning to vent his anger over
the way things have gone for Zanzibar.
Carlucci reports Babu clearly, does not
want to go to Dar-es-Salaam to take up his
ministerial duties there and plans to be as
difficult as possible.
Nyerere has been pushing London fora
quick infusion of development aid for Zanzi-
bar. He fears that the bloc representatives
are exerting a good deal of pressure on
Karume to promote Zanzibar separatism and
preserve their own position on the island.
The East:GermanS have been particularly
active in this.regard.
6. USSR-India: The USSR has offered to
help India build the first stage of the Bokaro
steel plant; a team of Soviet experts will
visit India soon to work out details.
The Soviets have'assisted with another
. steel plant at-Bhilai with an expenditure of
over $200 million. All told, the USSR has
made-available to India $800, million in eco-
nomic aid since 1955.
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7. USSR-Egypt: Khrushchev is presently
schedUled to arrive in Cairo next Saturday
to inaugurate the first stage of the Aswan
high dam. He will depart from Odessa on
Wednesday for a leisurely boat trip. While
in Egypt, Khrushchev will probably promise
new credits for Nasir's second five-year plan.
-8. Congo: Leopoldville has airlifted more
.troops into southeast Kivu Province after.a
terrorist attack on Congo-Army forces there
last week.
from one- to
"several" thousand self-styled "Mulelists"
have been operating in this area. Mulele is
one of Lumumba's ex-lieutenants who has been
leading a rebellion in Kwilu Province.
9. Rumania-US: The Rumanian Government's
industrial and commerical delegation hopes
to begin talks in Washington next Friday.
Included in its shopping list are rubber
plants, chemical and synthetics factories,
_several oil industry plants, a nuclear power
station, and a glass factory.
10. Communist China: Prospects for the
winter wheat crop:are not.bright. .The crop,
.plagued with unseasonal cold and excessive
-moisture, is now threatened by an infestation
of wheat rust, which the Chinese are ill-
equipped to handle. At present, Chinese grain
purchases abroad are running at about the
same rate as last year's record level.
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11.
Japan - Communist Bloc:
the Japanese Ministry of
International Trade and Industry is circulat-
ing sweeping proposals for doubling trade
with Communist countries.
Our embassy thinks such proposals would
be drastically modified before the government
would adopt them.
However, strong elements of the Liberal
Democratic Party favor expansion of trade
with Communist China, and Prime Minister
Ikeda might find it expedient to go along to
some extent with a liberalization program.
12. Burma: Ne Win has avoided a showdown
with the Buddhist monks by stipulating that
only religious organizations engaged in
"political activities" must register with
the government. The monks had resolved to
defy the regime's registration order, and a
direct clash had appeared likely.
13. Maphilindo Talks: President Macapagal's
formal proposal to Tunku Rahman and Sukarno
that the three hold a summit meeting in Tokyo
by 10 May does not look promising. We see
no real signs of give on either side.
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14. South Korea: Student leaders are plan-
ning renewed demonstrations soon calling for
the ouster of Kim Chong-pil.
16. Argentina: We expect a period of labor
unrest to begin in Argentina this month. The
General Confederation of Labor plans to set
off nationwide demonstrations on 18 May to
protest the government's failure to.curb
inflation and enact a minimum wage law.
17. Panama: Arnulfo Arias is still the
front-runner in the presidential campaign.
The elections are scheduled for 10 May and
could well be preceded by violence.
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TOP SECRET
USSR?
very good photography, though
cloud cover affected about 60 percent of it.
At the Leningrad suspect anti-missile
missile complex there has been no significant
-change since about mid-1963 in the southwest
installation--the one considered to be in the
most advanced stage of construction.
This information, together with that
obtained on the northeast installation
suggests that the complex
will not be used or is awaiting modification.
also sighted E-class nuclear
powered submarines equipped with cruise mis-
siles in the Northern Fleet. This is
another indication of the Soviet
Navy's heavy commitment to the cruise missile
weapons system.
In China a 350-foot
identified at a possible
facility near Lop Nor
tower has been
nuclear weapons test
. We do not
know its purpose.
Several other structures were noted,
including small buildings and a possible
bunker, but the entire installation appears
to be in an early stage of construction.
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