THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 15-17 APRIL 1964
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005959120
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
10
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
April 17, 1964
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Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24: CIA-RDP79T00936A002500250001-2
THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BYTHE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
15.- 17 APRIL 1964
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1.
17 April 1964
Cyprus: Sporadic firing continued this week
in Nicosia and along the Turkish-controlled Nicosia-
Kyrenia highway. The number of incidents seems to
have dropped off, however.
U Thant is still trying to get the Turkish Army
contingent off the road, if not back to its barracks.
Tuomioja has gone to Ankara to ask the Turks to put
the contingent under Gyani, although not as a part
of the UN force. The contingent could stay in the
area, but the UN would take over the road.
The expected arrival of the Finnish and Irish
units this coming week will bring the UN force close
to its full strength of 7,000.
Ankara is still using the Greeks in Turkey as
a pressure point. So far, however, the government
has restricted its harassment mostly to Greek citizens
in Turkey--and resisted the demands of some Turks
for action against the 60,000 ethic Greeks who are
Turkish citizens.
(Cont'd)
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For The President Only - Top Secret
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The Turks are increasingly lamenting what they
call inability or unwillingness of the US to put
pressure on Greece and Makarios. Anti-Americanism
is growing in the Turkish press and among Turkish
students, while a left-wing columnist for a widely
circulated newspaper has called for a review of
US base rights.
2. South Vietnam: Heavy losses were suffered by
both sides in this week's action in the delta. Pre-
liminary estimates put the government's casualties
at more than 300, including 131 killed and missing.
The Viet Cong dead counted were 59, with many others
carried off the field.
The government forces--the equivalent of seven
battalions--fought well but were handicapped by .a
lengthy supply line. The Viet Cong--at least two
battalions--were fighting a well-planned battle
close to one of their strongholds and were well
supplied.
The Communists have also stepped up small scale
attacks in other areas, possibly in reaction to
increased government operations throughout the country.
On the political side, rumors of trouble between
Khanh and the civilians in his government have
tapered off. Some Saigon newspapers, however, remain
critical of Khanh's various actions
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3. Laos North Vietnam:
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Hanoi
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charging that rightist forces had raided a village
inside the North Vietnamese border.
Hanoi probably hopes to aggravate the already
strained relations between rightist leader Phoumi
and Souvanna, as well as soften the latter's atti-
tude toward the Pathet Lao
4, Brazil: The regime's preoccupation with
purging CZEmunists and other subversives is giving
way to the business of forming a new government.
The clean-up continues, but at a slower rate.
President Castello Branco's centrist-conserva-
tive cabinet ministers are mostly competent, pro-
Western technicians with long experience in their
fields.
Holdovers from Mazzilli's interim cabinet
include Foreign Minister Leitao da Cunha, Finance
Minister Bulhoes, and War Minister Costa e Silva.
A number of the appointees are closely associated
With governor Lacerda and other governors involved
in the anti-Goulart movement.
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5. Khrushchev's Birthday: Khrushchev's 70th birth-
day celebrations were apparently kept in low key--
deliberately so to contrast with the virtual deifica-
tion of Stalin when he turned 70.
As expected, high-level delegations from all
the Communist states supporting Moscow were on hand.
Also as expected, delegations from China and Albania
were not.
6. South Korea: This weekend is the anniversary
of the 1960 student uprising against the Rhee regime.
Student demonstrations have already started and are
likely to grow, protesting against government cor-
ruption and police interference in student affairs.
Although Korean security forces contained the student
demonstrations of last month, the danger of wide-
spread violence is not being discounted.
7. Common Market: The EEC Council has again been
unable to resolve the politically charged issue of
unified grain prices. The Germans are still firm
against lowering theirs and are likely to stay that
way.
De Gaulle has said he sees little chance for
the Kennedy Round negotiations next month until this
problem is solved. In other words, he is determined
to gain access to the West German agricultural market
before he gives on anything else.
(Contid)
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In his television speech Thursday, which was
largely devoted to rebuttal of press attacks on his
military and foreign aid programs, he indirectly
underscored this point.
8. Indonesia-Malaysia: The confrontation is likely
to warm up before the month is over. The British
intend to initiate their return fire and hot pursuit
program--if the occasion requires it--on the 27th.
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9. Afro-Asian Meeting: The Chinese Communists
netted some gain from the 10-15 April preparatory
meeting of Afro-Asian nations in Djakarta, but did
not get all they wanted.
They managed to exclude the Russians from the
full-scale conference to be held next March in Africa,
where Peiping expects to enlarge its contacts and
gain a sympathetic audience for its militant anti-
colonialist line.
The Chinese lost out, however, in an effort to
hold the conference-earlier, so as to compete with
the Nasir-Tito sponsored meeting of nonaligned chiefs
in Cairo this October.
10. , Syria: The government quickly controlled last
Wednesday's disturbances in the northern city of
Hama, The Baathist regime's enemies are
ing daily, however, and our embassy cOmments that
the military's indispensable support of the govern-
ment cannot last forever.
For The President Only - Top Secret
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11. Libya: King Idris may be indulging in over-
optimism regarding his ability to head off the trend
against US-UK bases in Libya.
The King, however, may be underestimating the
strength of nationalist sentiment in Libya, par-
ticularly in the populous Tripolitanian area, where
attachment to the monarchy has never been strong.
The current lull in anti-Western agitation--and
Nasir's abstention from stirring up the base issue
mightend abruptly if it should appear that the
Libyan Government is taking a "soft" line in the
negotiations.
12. Somalia-Ethiopia: Somalia is beginning to dis-
miss the volunteer forces recruited earlier for use
against Ethiopia. Action is also being deferred on
previously authorized enlistment of some 2,000
regulars.
The reason is probably as much an inability to
provide maintenance as it is a desire to show that
Somalia is doing its part to comply with the cease-
fire.
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002500250001-2
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13.
Kenya
- Communist China: The Chinese are
training
Kenyans in guerrilla warfare
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bUA"I
We suspect that the trainees are asso-
ciates of Kenya's ambitious Home Minister Oginga
Odinga.
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For The President Only - Top Secret
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/07/24 : CIA-RDP79T00936A002500250001-2
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16. Spain-USSR: Negotiations for a resumption of
diplomatic relations between Madrid and Moscow now
appear to be indefinitely stalled.
17. Gabon: Mba's "victory" in the 12 April legis-
lativeUTUctions is not likely to strengthen his
hold on the country. The opposition made a stronger
showing than expected, and a move to Dust the
President would not be a surprise. Even an effort
to compromise might not save Mba, since his opponents
appear unwilling to accept anything short of his
ouster.
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