THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE REVIEW 28-31 MARCH 1964

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005959065
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: March 31, 1964

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE REVIEW
ISSUED BY THE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
28 - 31 MARCH 1964
26
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1.
Brazil: In the wake of last week's bizarre epi-
sode with the navy enlisted men we seem closer than ever
to an outright attempt by the military to toss Goulart
out.
For his part, the wily Goulart gives little evidence
of backing dawn. In an inflammatory speech last night,
he in effect threw down the gauntlet to the military. We
are not sure yet just who, if anyone, will pick it up.
One prospect is the governor of Minas Gerais who
today issued an anti-Goulart manifesto. Another is the
mander of federal troops in the state, General Mourao
Filho, who has begun moving his troops into the hills on
the state border.
COM--
We have no news yet that Generals Kruel and Castello
Branco are joining the Minas Gerais action.)
If the military does move toward a showdown, much
will depend on how effective Goulart's efforts to neu-
tralize army opposition have been.
Fnr Tkga
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Cyprus: After a conspicuously peaceful start,
the UR force has had its baptism of fire.
A UN patrol came under Greek Cypriot fire Monday.
Fortunately no one was hurt and the Greek Cypriots
are now saying it was all a mistake.
We doubt this, however, and believe that the Greek
Cypriots were in fact testing the UN reaction. They
have not been happy with the terms of reference of the
UN force or General Gyani's refusal to give them infor-
mation on UN patrols beforehand.
For their part the Turkish Cypriots refused to let
a Canadian UN contingent into their strongpoint in the
mountains north of Nicosia.
Makarios drove a wider wedge between the two Cyp-
riot communities on Saturday when he refused to let
Vice President Kuchuck and three Turkish Cypriot minis-
ters return to the government and a leading figure in
the Turkish community back on the island.(
3. Cambodia: In yet another of his flip-flops, Cam-
bodiirg-afficious Prince has withdrawn his several
deadlines for a Geneva conference on Cambodian neutrality
and in fact has given up his efforts to stimulate one
for the time being.
(Cont'd)
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He also says he will not be making a pilgrimage
to Peiping, or Hanoi, to seek help there.
Instead, he plans to devote himself to his family,
to the Khmer New Year's celebrations, and to preparations
for his May-June trip to France.
We are never confident just how constant Sihanouk
will be. This latest position, should it stand, would
take the urgency out of the crisis.
One thing that could set him off again would be
another incident along the border with South Vietnam.
A second source of friction is the hoary problem of
the Khmer Serei. Phnom Penh returned to this on Sunday,
alleging that some 1.000 of them were ranged along the
frontier
4. Indonesia-Malaysia: Not only does Sukarno intend
to keep right on infiltrating guerrillas and saboteurs
into Malaysia, but he wants to make them more effective
Sukarno has never deviated, despite an occa-
sional tactical diversion like the January "ceasefire,"
from his goal of dismembering Malaysia and toppling
Rahman,
(Cont'd)
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5. South Korea: Last week's student demonstrations
tapered off after five days of noisy agitation against
the government's attempt to normalize relations with Japan.
Opposition elements who? sparked these outbursts are
casting about for new issues which will bring the stu-
dents out on the streets again. These elements would,
if possible; like to point the students toward a climax
on the 19 April anniversary of-the 1960 student uprising
against Rhee.
Aware of such possibilities the Pak government has
publicly called for a cooling-off period on the sensitive
Japanese issue.
Pak would hope to_use any time he can buy with this
maneuver to undercut opposition to talks with Japan.
He will have to move fast, however, since the Tokyo
negotiations must be completed within the next few weeks
if. the Japanese Diet is to have time to ratify the re-
sults before it adjourns in mid-May.
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6. South Vietnam: The Viet Cong over, the past week
has sustained a steady pattern of harassment against
hamlets, paramilitary units . Activity 50X1
has been heaviest in the southern provinces.
The Communists are also stepping up terrorism against
more successful local South Vietnamese officials. In
the last few days they have assassinated two quite com-
petent provincial officials and tried without success to
murder a good-divisional commander.
7. UAR-UK-Yemen: Cairo's relations with London, long
strained, threaten to get even worse.
Nasir last week nationalized British oil interests,
including Shell investments worth at least $30 million.
He was reacting to a Home statement justifying the British
course during the 1956 Suez crisis.
Nasir's response has also included agitation, which
has met with some successtagainst British base rights in
Libya and Cyprus.
British andgyptian interests also clash in the
Yemen-Aden area.
(Cont' d)
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8. Zanzibar: Faced with the prospect of a Commonwealth 50X1
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9. Congo: Adoula, sensitive to public criticism that
? he haW-17-"do-nothing" government, has in mind a reshuf-,
fling of his cabinet to weed out incompetent or politically
dangerous ministers.
(Con:tic')
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One of these is his defense minister, Anany, who
has annoyed the prime minister with his freewheeling
maneuvers to promote himself and his Congolese Demo-
cratic Party.
Faced with the prospect of being left out, Anany
might attempt a coup, although his plans do not appear
far advanced.
UN forces are scheduled to begin leaving Katanga
in mid-April and to be clear of the area by June, a
month earlier than previously planned. The ability of
the Congolese army to deal with ensuing disturbances,
questionable at best, has been seriously eroded by de-
mands placed oh it elsewhere.
10. Sino-Soviet Dispute: The Chinese have unburdened
themselves of yet another attack on the Soviet leader-
ship. It reinforces our conviction that the dispute is
beyond compromise.
In a vituperative statement published Tuesday, the
Chinese call on all Communist parties to "repudiate and
liquidate" the revisionism of Khrushchev, "the greatest
capitulationist of all time."
The Chinese, by insisting that they went too far in
earlier meetings to meet the USSR point of view, make
it quite clear that in any new world Communist conference
they will refuse to make concessions.
This bears out the view of the Italian and other
parties opposed to Khrushchev's requests for an inter-
national Communist conference on grounds that it could
only lead to a greater split or an unsatisfactory compro-
mise.
(Cont'd)
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11.
Somalia-Ethiopia: Fighting goes on along the
Ogaden border. despite Monday's agreement that there be:
a
a _ceasefire. While the political leaders in Addis Aba-
ba and Mogadiscio may be able to get the lid back on,
they will find it as difficult as before to keep it
there. The local military on both sides are still in
full cry and likely to keep the exchanges going.
12. Saudi Arabia: The latest go-around between Saud 50X1
and Faysal has come out about as expected. Though still
King in name, Saud has been stripped of all organizational,
executive, administrative, and juridicial responsibilities.
13. Libya: According to Muntassir's most recent time-
tableT-Bage talks with the US and UK ought to show "plau-
sible progress" by September and lead to an agreement
around the end of the year. The agreement
could provide for the closure of these bases in about
three years.
14. USSR-India: The USSR delivered
transports to india
AL d2
15. Mexico-France:
De Gaulle has invited Diaz Ordaz, who will be Mexico's
next President, to visit France as soon after his 1 Dec-
ember inauguration as feasible. .
Fnr Tka Pro:heirLIM. rush,
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