THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 26 JULY 1961

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: President's Daily Brief 1961-1969
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005958968
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: T
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: September 16, 2015
• Document Release Date: September 16, 2015
• Publication Date: July 26, 1961

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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
26 JULY 1961
1-7015"-SE-C-REI._
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1. Ceasefire efforts in
Tunisia deadlocked
2. Laotian developments
The French and Tunisians have failed
to agree on a site for talks to arrange
an official truce. The ceasefire i.5.50x1
still in effect, but Bourguiba is
talking of a long and bitter guerrilla
war to oust the French from the base.
He continues to call for military aid,
and several Arab states are actively
preparing to send small contingents.
He has also asked for another Security
Council meeting later this week.
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a) The King has come to Vientiane to
discuss a coalition government; he is
willing to appoint one but unlikely to
assume the premiership.
b) Boun Oum and Souvanna still hope to
meet in Phnom Penh; we doubt if much
will come of it as lomas Souphannou-
vong refuses to attend and Phoumi re-
fuses to accept Souvanna as premier.
c) Vhoumi, in one of his more confident
moods, is working out contingency
plans for resuming hostilities. He
has asked Thailand and South Vietnam
for a light infantry division each.
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3. Thompson reports cryptic
conversation which may be
Soviet feeler on Berlin
Situation in the
Dominican Republic
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The head of the American Desk in the
Soviet Foreign Ministry told an Embassy
official that the question of boundaries
was more important to the USSR than the
question of Berlin, although a decision
was needed on the latter. When asked
what boundaries he had in mind, the
Soviet official replied "northern,
eastern, and southern".
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President Balaguer still seems to be
easing the regime toward liberalization,
with elections promised for next year.
In this, he is receiving the support
of Trujillo's son Ramf is, who controls
most of the armed forces, although
Ramfis' motives are probably oppor-
tunistic. Even with Ramfis' support
Balaguer is unable to act freely,
however, in the face of remnants of
Trujillo's machine, notably the old
man's brothers, who have private
armies of there own. There is no
love lost between Ramfis ana his
uncles, and a showdown may be in the
making.
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5. Brazil to restore rela-
tions with the USSR
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L.=
Quadros made the announcement Monday.
In an earlier personal letter Khru-
shchev had implied that this step would
be followed by a Soviet aid offer, and
we suspect the Soviet goodwill mission
now touring Latin America to have made
specific proposals, perhaps for develop-
ment of the depressed northeast. Presi-
dent Goulart left on a trip to Communist
China yesterday.
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NOTES
Next Sunday is Soviet Navy Day, usually celebrated with a rather
dull naval exhibition in Leningrad. There are suggestions, however,
that this year the occasion--like the air show--may be used for
muscle-flexing. "G-class" (conventionally-powered ballistic missile)
submarines and guided missile-carrying destroyers may be shown.
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B. The refugee figure for Monday was considerably higher than Sunday's.
We believe, however, that many of those who registered on Monday
had actually crossed into West Berlin earlier to attend the Church
Congress.
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C. Another test vehicle was successfully fired from Tyura Tam to 50X1
KamchAtka yesterday. The score for this year is now 13 successes P50X1
nine failures, two undetermined. Preparations for a space shot
continue. 50X1
E.
Italian Prime Minister Fanfani will visit Moscow August 2-5,
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F. The Congolese parliament is now in session; local UN officials believe
Gizenga's group is winning out. The Katanga delegation is still
absent and the political situation in Elisabethville is muddier than
ever. 50X1
G. When Sukarno visited Moscow, Khrushchev is said to have offended him
by asking "Now that we have given you all this aid, what are you
going to do for us?" We have seen no reflection of Sukarno's dis-
pleasure in Indonesian policy, but he may ask the 50X1
US to undertake the Asahan project (major hydroelectric development
in North Sumatra). 50X1
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H. Sukarno plans to attend the UN General Assembly session after the
Non-Aligned Nations Conference in Yugoslavia. A number of other heads
of state may get the same idea. 50X1
I. Afghanistan has probably asked the USSR for fighters
J. The Algerian delegation at Evian agreed yesterday to the French
proposal to split into working groups and talk details.
LATE NOTE
K. As of 0800 we have no information on today's activities in Havana.
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Berlin
--- 27 June to 24 July
I
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1.. During the reporting period, Khrushchev and other Soviet
officials havi--used forceful terms in attempting to impress on
the West that the USSR will not be deterred from its announced
policy on Germany and Berlin by any Western military measures
and will be prepared to match such Western moves'. At the same
time, the USSR's preference for early negotiations, apparently
at a'high-level four-power conference, has been evident in Khru-
shcheV's statements and in remarks by bloc spokes- 50X1,
men.
2. Despite hints that a separate treaty with East Germany might
be signed as early as September, there is no convincing evidence that
Khrushchev has altered his expressed intention to wait until the West
German elections and probably until after the CPSU congress in October.
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negotiations are begun before the end of the year, Khrushchev's 1961
deadline will not apply.
3. Since our last report a combination of events have coincided
to produce an increasingly serious internal situation for the East
German regime. A further deterioration in the economic situation
and the effect of the bloc's more threatening tone on Berlin have
increased popular discontent and apprehension. These factors have
been added to the usual preference of refugees to flee during the
summer months. East German moves to curtail the flow of refugees
and warnings to the populace that it can expect no improvements
in living standards increase the possibility of spontaneous local
outbreaks.
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