THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 12 JULY 1961
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005958946
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
7
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
July 12, 1961
File:
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DOC_0005958946.pdf | 213.72 KB |
Body:
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
12 July 1961
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/05/04 : CIA-RDP79T00936A000100200001-3
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1, Chinese Nationalist step
up planning for para-
military operations
against mainland
Chiang Ching-kuo has ordered that
selection of a 200-man force to be
dropped in South China be completed
by mid-July. We believe the Nationalists
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are actively considering
other steps to increase
Far East, which they hope
changes in US policy.
a number of
tension in the
would inhibit
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2. Soviet pressure move
on Berlin
Thompson reports that
Foreign Minister Sobolev
on Monday Deputy
told the
Canadian Ambassador that "if the US
reply to the Soviet memorandum was
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3. Possibilities for 14 1
July in Iraq
quite negative, the Soviets might
move their proposed schedule forward
in time."
a) A big military parade and other
ceremonies in Baghdad will give Qasim
a chance to dramatize his leadership of
Arab opposition to British presence in 50X1
Kuwait. Possible further gestures would
be to break relations with London, or to
extend his claims even further down the50xi
coast beyond Kuwait.
c) Announcement of some move against
the Iraq Petroleum Company;? Qasim may be
considering nationalization, but his
experts will advise him strongly against
it.
d) Since the British forces will remain
in Kuwait over the weekend, an Iraqi
attack also seems unlikely. (MAP)
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4. Thailand planning for
resistance operations in
Laos
5, Current Soviet army
strength figures
6. Communist China matches
USSR in relations with
North Korea
skirmishing goes on.
Minor military
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The US Army now carries 147 Soviet line
divisions, down 28 from its estimate
prior to the demobilization announced 50X1
in January 1960. Of these divisions,
90 are considered combat ready at about
70 percent of war strength, while the
others are at less than 40 percent
strength. Army personnel strength is
estimated at 2,150,000. 50X1
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Yesterday, only five days after announce-
ment of the Soviet-North Korean mutual
defense treaty, a virtually identical
agreement between North Korea and China 50X1
was signed by Kim Il-sung, who had been
hastily invited to Peiping for the
purpose. Note: although Sino-Soviet
competition for support of the Asian
Communist parties is becoming rather
obvious, we do not expect any immediate
flare-up between Moscow and Peiping over
this issue; they may well clash, however,
over the program to be presented to the
Soviet Party Congress in October. 50X1
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7. Offer of "good offices"
in US-Cuban dispute
may be forthcoming
soon
8. Call for further UN
action on Angola
appears likely
The sponsoring states--Ecuador, Brazil,
and Mexico--are continuing their negotia-
tions. They have invited, but not yet
received, the suppOrt of Argentina,
Uruguay and Chile. The Cubans are urging
"immediate action". 50X1
The chairman of the UN subcommittee on
Angola is scheduled to go to Portugal
late this week to get permission for
his subcommittee to visit Angola. If
Portugal refuses, as seems probable, he
will have to return the problem to the
General Assembly or Security Council,
opening the way to an Afro-Asian ..move
for UN sanctions against Portugal.
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NOTES
A. We are so far unable to confirm reports of an outbreak against
the Dominican government in Santiago.
B. The Berlin Senate has asked Pan American to provide 50 charter
flights next Tuesday and Wednesday for delegates tothe All-German
Protestant Church Congress. Pan Am will provide 20 and expects
the rest to come from Br nd Air France if the three govern-
ments approve.
C. The military regime in Turkey is uneasy over the demonstration,
in the constitutional referendum last Sunday, of continued
strength of the Democratic Party which it ousted in May of
last year. It still intends, however, to go ahead with elections
in October.
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D. The Sudanese government has arrested opposition leaders, 591
apparently in the belief that they planned some form of action
against it . However, the political situation in 50X1
Khartoum will remain unstable.
E. Belgian press reports on the formation of a Congolese government
of "national unity" are unconfirmed, but negotiations between
Gizenga and the Leopoldville government continue. Tshombe remains
obstructive.
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50X1
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FINNMAA FUNii! MOM, tHEI )"-.011W,1 c-MT:3
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ISRAEL,. IRA !KAN
SAUDI ARABI
6 JULY 1961
Road
Railroad
Oil pipeline
AD DAVV,Hki
Al Hufuf
Declassified in Part - Sanitized Copy Approved for Release 2015/05/04 :.CIA-,RDP79T00936A000100200001:3.