THE PRESIDENT'S INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST 28 JUNE 1961
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
0005958924
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
T
Document Page Count:
8
Document Creation Date:
September 16, 2015
Document Release Date:
September 16, 2015
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
June 28, 1961
File:
Attachment | Size |
---|---|
DOC_0005958924.pdf | 210.11 KB |
Body:
Ea
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THE PRESIDENT'S
INTELLIGENCE CHECKLIST
FL,
28 JUNE 1961
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1. Algerian developments
2. Shah and General Bakhtiar
continue to support Amini
1 1
a) De Gaulle yesterday announced he ,
would recall one division from Algeria50X1
as the first step in a phased with-
drawal. This is obviously intended
to persuade the rebels he really means
to give Algeria full independence.
While repeating his commitment to the
?
Evian negotiations, he indicated he
also means business about partition
50X1
if they are unsuccessful. The token
troop withdrawal will further stir
up the European extremists. 50X1
b) There are signs of a drop in
French army morale following the
unilateral cease-fire.
50X1
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3. Harriman's meeting with
Phoumi on Tuesday
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4. Tshombd apparently backing
out of his agreement to
participate in Congolese
parliament meeting
5. Further comment on
Israeli-Syrian Border
incidents
His assessment: Phoumi realizes
he must face the political and
military facts and capitulate as
gracefully as possible, while using
the King and the constitution to
keep some non-Communists in a coali-
tion government; Phoumi sees as the
only possible alternative an assurance
of US military backing if he refuses
to accept a dictated solution.
(Note: we are concerned that Phoumi
may make a deal with Souvanna; also
that the commander of the Vientiane
garrison, who is strongly anti-
Souvanna, may react to such a deal by
making a coup himself.)
50X1
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Safely back in Elisabethville, Tshombd
on Monday denounced the central govern-
ment. A Katangan boycott of the meeting
would increase Gizenga's relative voting
strength. Gizenga 6W1
says he will not personally attend unless
sure of a majority.
50X1
American officials on the scene, as
well as UN officers, are taking a
serious view of the current flare-up.
Better Syrian troops are now manning 50X1
the border and,seem more willing to
take on the Israelis. A major clash
is not unlikely. ( map 50X1
on last page)
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6. Moscow consolidates
victory over Peiping in
Indian Communist Party
50X1
7. Cuban military pilot
training in Czechoslovakia
1 1
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The right and center leaders of the
party, who are committed to a "peaceful,
parliamentary" policy, took four of five
places on the new politburo chosen last
week. (In the outgoing body they had a
shaky five-four majority). These
changes follow from a rightist victory
over the pro-Chinese left at the party's
congress in April.)
pilots completed training in ram
June, and more are expected
from Cub
50X1
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A.
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NOTES
Chaing's government has
ordered detailed military planning for an attack on the main-
land early next year, with "mobilization" to begin about 1
August. These activities could indicate desperation on the part
of the Chinese, as well as an effort to bring pressure on Wash-
ington. The Nationalists could hardly hope to conceal such
preparations either from the US or from the Communists for very
long.
B. The French are expressing to State their strong disapproval of
the US-Soviet bilateral-disarmament talks.
C. There have been no further major developments regarding Kuwait.
Qasim is mobilizing Iraqi opinion to support his claim, while
Kuwait is mobilizing foreign opinion against it. Early bloc
reaction is embarrassed.
n.,1%,
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UNITED STATES INTELLIGENCE BOARD
30 MAY - 26 JUNE
1. Khrushchev has stated publicly
his intention to sign a separate peace treaty with East Ger-
many by the end of the year and to transfer access controls
to the GDR. We do not believe, however, that the USSR has
as yet reached an irrevocable decision, since the formal
Soviet position is that a separat?e peace treaty is contin-
gent on a failure to reach agreement with the Western powers.
In any event, Khrushchev has indicated that he will not take
ay action on a peace treaty until the Party Congress in
October. There is some evidence moreover,
that Khrushchev would defer a separate
treaty if negotiations were begun before his announced dead-
line.
2. In an effort to increase pressure on the West to
initiate a new round of negotiations, the bloc can be ex-
pected to take advantage of activities in West Berlin, such
as the all-German church congress and Chancellor Adenauer's
visit, in order to agitate the Berlin question. In this con-
nection, there may be sporadic harassment of civilian access
to Berlin and movement within the city.
3. We anticipate a period of sharply increased tensions
over Berlin during the coming weeks.
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ISRAELI-SYRIAN
BORDER INCIDENTS_
19-25 June 1961
Canal or conduit,
proposed or under construction
Demilitarized Zone
d///////..
EAMON /
' liffral(ETIVEECIE A
? A UAR
.7 Sea?
SY14)
/
ISRAEL
Dead
Sea /
NEGEV
I DESERT
JORDAN
UAR
(EGYPT)
Mediterranean
Sea
41111
Tel Aviv -Jaffa
/
AZA',
TRIP /
NEGEV
,0
DESERT
610628
Haifa
LEBANSN
Liam
LAKE HUM
(Drained)
Pumping Station
(Under Construction)
Tunnel,
Reservoirs "
LAKE
Tunnel/ TIBERIAS
Tunnel
; ISRAEL
JOR
AN
erusolemi
DEAD'
SEA
4,
-t4 Incidents
UAR
(SYRIA)
5 lnciden s
Y'Dmuk
?
STATUTE MILES SO
30861
50X1
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