SENIOR EXECUTIVE INTELLIGENCE BRIEF

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0005445135
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: June 24, 2015
• Document Release Date: August 25, 2010
• Case Number: F-2009-00733
• Publication Date: September 25, 2000

APPROVED FOR RELEASE[] DATE: 06-23-2010 I M T ? Monday, 25 September 2000 National Security Information Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions Reproduction of this Document Prohibited Readership is limited to those on approved reader list on file with CIA SEIB Control Officer. The undersigned hereby acknowledge reading this document. va~~~ r~.~n:t.T?!'/,S~~rv~~n.-~pr, mra vr eom~ 7 (b)(1) (b?(3) PASS SEIB 00-224CBX 25 September 2000 Teeeret-  FRY: Opposition Leading, Regime Scrambling Analytic Perspective Both sides are claiming to have the advantage in yesterday's elections, but the high turnout and concerns expressed by regime officials suggest that the opposition is doing well and that stealing the election will be more difficult than anticipated. The federal election commission last night expelled opposition vote counters and refused to release any official figures for vote totals or turnout. - Based on a preliminary count, the opposition claims Kostunica is beating Milosevic by a significant margin. - Some proregime media claim Milosevic leads Kostunica by 44 to 41 percent, but others-possibly reflecting confusion in the High Turnout, Widespread Irregularities Preliminary opposition estimates indicate that about 75 percent of the electorate in Serbia voted, a sharp increase over the 60 percent that participated in the last nationwide elections in 1997. Opposition sources claimed turnout in Montenegro, where President Djukanovic had urged a boycott, was about 25 percent. The opposition has accused Belgrade of numerous irregularities, including inaccurate voting lists, ballot stuffing, and the deployment of security forces to polling places to intimidate voters, according to media reports. There were no reported incidents of serious violence. - Postelection demonstrations in Belgrade and other cities were small and peaceful. Some 10,000 to 20,000 protesters turned out in the capital. -%@P-See~ I 25 Sepmmb" 2000  -Bad weather, delays in the release of election results, and Serbian police efforts to disrupt opposition gatherings contributed to the Top Seff 64, 2 25 September 2000