(SANITIZED); ACCEPTANCE LETTER

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 0001155612
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 3
• Document Creation Date: June 22, 2015
• Document Release Date: June 11, 2009
• Case Number: F-2009-00485
• Publication Date: November 24, 2004

24 November 2004
Reference: F-2005-00154
We received your 1 November 2004 Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
facsimile request for the following previously declassified articles
published in the Studies on Intelligence series:
1. Edwin Sapp "Decision Trees" Studies in Intelligence,
No. 18, Winter 1974, pp 45-57.
2. J. Pierce, "Some Mathematical Methods for Intelligence
Analysis" Studies in Intelligence, Summer 1977, pp 1-19.
3. "Bayes' Theorem in the Korean War" Intelligence Report
No. 0605 68, July 1968.
4. "A Theorem for Predictions" Jack Zlotnick, Studies in
Intelligence, XI/4.
We assigned your request the reference number above. Please use this
number when corresponding with our agency so we can easily identify it.
We searched our database of previously released records and located
items 1, 2, and 4 responsive to your request. These three items-MORI Doc
ID 613105, 604893, and 609170-totaling 50 pages are enclosed. In an effort
to assist you regarding item 3, we also located and are enclosing the article,
"Bayes' Theorem For Intelligence Analysis"-MORI Doc ID 604125, totaling
12 pages-by Jack Zlotnick, which was published in the 1972 Spring issue of
Studies in Intelligence. Since this article is different than the document you
requested, we have accepted your request concerning item 3 and will conduct a
search of our general records holdings to locate the specific document. This
portion of your request will be processed in accordance with the FOIA, 5 U.S.C.
? 552, as amended, and the CIA Information Act, 50 U.S.C. ? 431.
APPROVED FOR RELEASED
DATE: 02-Jun-2009
 Based upon the information provided in your letter, we determined that
your request falls into the "all other" fee category, which means that you would
normally be required to pay charges which recover the cost of searching for
and reproducing responsive records (if any) beyond the first 100 pages of
reproduction and the first two hours of search time, which would be furnished
without charge. Copying costs would also normally be assessed at the rate of
ten cents per page. Because we believe that fees would be minimal to search
for and copy item 3 of your request, and as an act of administrative discretion,
we determined that no fees will be charged for this entire request.
The large number of FOIA requests CIA receives has created
unavoidable processing delays making it unlikely that we can respond within
the 20 working days the FOIA requires. You have the right to consider our
honest appraisal as a denial of your request and you may appeal to the Agency
Release Panel. A more practical approach would permit us to continue
processing your request and respond to you as soon as we can. You will retain
your appeal rights and, once you receive the results of our search, can appeal
at that time if you wish. We will proceed on that basis unless you tell us you
object.
Sincerely,
Scott Koch
Information and Privacy Coordinator
Enclosures